Why Huawei Isn’t So Scary
Debunker
Dated: October 12, 2019
By: Elsa B Kania, Lindsey R. Sheppard
5G may have become a buzzword, but the notion that countries must
rush to be first to deploy it is mistaken and reckless—and increases the odds
of security breaches. There’s no doubt that 5G is important, promising the high
speeds and unparalleled connectivity that are required to unleash the full potential
of the “internet of things”—the ever-growing network of web-connected
devices—and artificial intelligence. 5G could prove critical to economic
competitiveness, but not only will a race to install the system end up
backfiring, there is also reason to think twice about the claims of China’s
Huawei that it alone can shape our technological future.
Huawei’s
marketing—and Chinese government propaganda—has built the impression that it’s
either Huawei or no way to 5G. The telecommunications firm declares itself the unparalleled leader in
5G as it attempts to secure commercial partnerships around the world, now boasting more than 50 contracts across
some 30 countries. In Europe, Huawei has even launched a
campaign urging residents to “Vote for 5G,” as if its 5G technologies were the
only way for Europe to achieve a smarter future.
Huawei’s claims to be No. 1 in 5G can be misleading. Huawei is a
leader and a powerhouse, but it is not the only top player. And it isn’t clear
that the company is winning—at least, not yet. Although Huawei’s technological
capabilities shouldn’t be underestimated, there are reasons to look skeptically
at its supposed superiority in 5G.
Huawei’s quest for dominance in the global
telecommunications industry has involved tactics and practices that are
antithetical to fair, healthy competition.
Huawei’s quest for
dominance in the global telecommunications industry has involved tactics and
practices that are antithetical to fair, healthy competition.
That Huawei has
amassed a market share estimated at nearly 30 percent of the global telecom equipment
industry reflects its capacity to underbid and undercut competitors, not to
mention multiple alleged incidents of bribery and
corruption. The Chinese firm’s determination to provide cheap services and
equipment to capture market share often puts intense pressure on competitors.
But it’s not always a fair fight: Huawei’s rise has been enabled by the billions of dollars in
support, subsidies, and various benefits it has received from the
Chinese government. For instance, Huawei has lines of credit from state-owned
banks that reportedly amount to $100 billion.
Huawei has also
been helped by a business culture in which theft is often encouraged—even outright incentivized. At best,
some of its activities, such as the aggressive recruitment of talent from
rivals, may be considered standard practice within the industry. At worst,
however, Huawei’s business practices violate legal boundaries. There have been numerous accusations of intellectual
property theft, as well as ongoing reports of attempts to expropriate sensitive
technologies, from the early copying of Cisco source code to military technology. And what these dubious
practices reveal is that Huawei is in fact not as cutting-edge as its publicity
claims.
The idea that
Huawei has an insurmountable lead in the 5G race also represents a failure of
observers to distinguish its carefully crafted image from any real
technological edge. To be sure, Huawei has long pursued 5G. Since 2007, it has
invested massively in next-generation telecommunications, spending more than $60 billion on research and
development over the course of a decade. And the company now plans to increase its 5G investments as
part of an annual R&D budget that may exceed $15 billion.
Huawei truly
does provide mature and cost-effective equipment. It is one of the few players
offering an end-to-end 5G solution, with particular strengths in radio access
networking. However, it’s unclear how well the company’s systems integrate with
existing 4G infrastructure from other vendors. The security of Huawei’s
products has been assessed to be subpar, and the long-term performance of its 5G
networks also remains questionable. Countries that choose this low-cost option for fear
of losing out in the 5G race risk creating an unstable and insecure foundation
for their future societies and economies.
Countries that choose
this low-cost option for fear of losing out in the 5G race risk creating an
unstable and insecure foundation for their future societies and economies.
Although Huawei
may assert that it has already taken an
unbeatable lead in 5G infrastructure, judging who’s truly ahead in the field
means looking at multiple criteria. Such indicators can include commercial
contracts, deployed performance, integration with network infrastructure, and
real technological innovation. For example, Huawei has claimed that it has more 5G patents than
all U.S. companies combined, but quantity does not necessarily correlate with
quality—especially in China, where patents are often of dubious value.
Huawei CEO Ren
Zhengfei has declared that his company’s dream is to
“stand on top of the world.” But the global supply chain remains highly
interdependent—a point of leverage that Washington is seeking to exploit by
potentially limiting Huawei’s access to U.S. technologies. Moreover, Huawei’s
competitors have their own core strengths among the fundamental technologies
that will shape 5G. And although Huawei’s promise of relative vertical
integration may offer efficiencies, the diversity of competitive suppliers
continues to drive both competition and innovation.
A number of companies based
in the United States, European Union, South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan are also industry leaders and major providers throughout
the supply chain. A healthy ecosystem for telecommunications would be based on
market diversity and fair competition and would emphasize the importance of
regulatory bodies, standards, and industry alliances to ensure security and
interoperability.
Monopolies are
obviously bad for business—and for security. For instance, even if Huawei were
to improve on its own security, a single vulnerability, even a bug believed to
be entirely inadvertent, could cause global damage if the company is as
dominant as it hopes to be.
The real fight in 5G is not about rapid deployment but about the
critical underlying technologies that will become the future of 5G. From
R&D to deployment and maintenance, policymakers and mobile network
operators should prioritize applying rigorous standards for security. In the
process, it is critical to safeguard competition in a diverse marketplace to
drive technological innovation. Some industry experts have estimated that 5G
non-standalone systems will operate alongside 4G LTE networks for as
many as 15 years while true 5G ecosystems mature.
For all of
Huawei’s grandstanding, its competitors are also gaining ground. Huawei’s
apparent advantages are hardly unassailable in an industry that is continuing
to evolve so rapidly. Those countries and mobile network operators that opt not
to work with Huawei, whether out of concern for security or to protect
competition, will have other viable options. Nokia has been catching up with Huawei in deals on the
ground, Samsung and Ericsson are also receiving new contracts for major 5G
projects, and Qualcomm is continuing to demonstrate new inventions
in 5G.
The future of
5G is still taking shape. The standards and foundational technologies that will
underpin it are still works in progress. The U.S. government, in coordination
with a range of allies and partners, can step into the fray by bolstering
support for R&D, including expanding funding for academic research on
next-generation technologies, and by providing tax credits to incentivize
investment in the technology while actively supporting initiatives that aim to
foster a more inclusive and competitive ecosystem. The United States and
like-minded countries must continue to explore options to ensure that the 5G
future will be secure and competitive.
Refrence: https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/10/12/huawei-china-5g-race-technology/
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