US-China trade war piles weight of global economy onto consumers
Business Line September 04, 2019 There is a lot of weight on the shoulders of shoppers around the world, and the strain is starting to show. As threats to demand ranging from US-China trade tensions to Brexit hit business confidence and investment, consumers are proving the main drivers of global growth. JP Morgan Chase & Co reckons global retail sales volumes charged ahead at a rate of 4.8 per cent in the last quarter, buoyed by still-tight labour markets. But there are signs that could soon change, as weakness in manufacturing seeps into hiring, and financial markets tighten amid the trade war. Both forces could lead households to retrench, fanning fears that the world economy is heading to recession. Morgan Stanley economists are already warning that American consumers are all that stand in the way of a US contraction. “It would be misguided to believe that manufacturing weakness is not going to filter through to the rest of the economy, even though factories