India seen returning to close to 8% growth by fiscal 2020: Sameer Goel of Deutsche Bank
Mint November 24, 2017 A revival in the capital-expenditure cycle is some time away, with many firms seeking to first recoup returns on their earlier investments, says Sameer Goel. Deutsche Bank AG is looking for Indian economic growth in fiscal year 2020 to return to close to 8%, provided the global economy does not throw up any nasty surprises, Sameer Goel, head of Asia macro strategy at the German lender, said in an interview. He also said data showed growth momentum generally improved in the year prior to elections. “Indeed, except for 2008, where the global financial crisis likely overwhelmed all other dynamics, the momentum has improved a year before elections, accelerating further in the election year itself, and in the year after,” he added. Edited excerpts: Do you feel the outlook on the Indian economy and confidence in the economy is much better when viewed from abroad? I think that’s a reasonable statement, and maybe most tied in to that fact that it is e...