Trade war threats: ‘Global growth may take up to 100 bps hit’
The Indian Express June 05, 2018 Global economic growth could slow down by 1 percentage point – or more than a quarter of the expansion rates projected by various international bodies — if US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats against China and others escalate into a full-blown trade war, S&P Global’s chief economist cautioned on Monday. Speaking to CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe”, Paul Gruenwald, chief economist at analytics firm S&P Global, said while it may not be a global recession but “one could imagine a scenario where rather than global growth in the threes we have global growth in the twos, where you get the US and Europe and China all pulling back at the same time”. Analysts have said any such slowdown will also impact India, which witnessed economic growth touching a seven-quarter high of 7.7 per cent in Q4FY18 and goods exports scaling a three-year peak last fiscal. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has predicted global growth at 3.9 per ce...