IMF calls for ‘urgent’ action by India amid economic slowdown
Hindustan Times
Declining consumption and investment, and falling tax revenue, have
combined with other factors to put the brakes on one of the fastest growing
economies in the world, the IMF said in its annual review.
India’s government must take steps quickly to reverse the economic
slowdown of an economy that has been one of the engines of global growth, the
International Monetary Fund said Monday.
After lifting millions out of poverty “India is now in the midst of a
significant economic slowdown,” Ranil Salgado, of the IMF Asia and Pacific
Department, told reporters. “Addressing the current downturn and returning
India to a high growth path requires urgent policy actions.” However, the
government has limited space to boost spending to support growth, especially
given high debt levels and interest payments, the fund warned
IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath last week said India’s slowdown had
“surprised to the downside,” and said the fund is set to significantly
downgrade its growth estimates for the Indian economy in the World Economic
Outlook which will be released next month.
The IMF in October slashed its forecast for 2019 by nearly a full point
to 6.1 percent, while cutting the outlook for 2020 to 7.0 percent. Salgado
said India’s central bank has “room to cut the policy rate further, especially
if the economic slowdown continues.”
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut the key lending rate five times this
year to a nine-year low, but at its last meeting earlier this month defied
expectations by keeping policy unchanged. The central bank slashed its
annual growth forecast to 5 percent from 6.1 percent, as consumer demand and
manufacturing activity contracts. India’s economy grew at its slowest pace
in more than six years in the July-September period, down to 4.5 percent from
7.0 percent a year ago, according to government data.
Salgado said “the government needs to reinvigorate the reform agenda,”
including restoring the health of the financial sector in order to “enhance its
ability to provide credit to the economy.”
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