Singapore is heading for a recession. The trade war is hurting
CNN Business
August 13, 2019
Laura He
Hong Kong (CNN Business)Singapore could be
heading for a recession after it reported a big drop in economic activity in
the second quarter of the year.
The
wealthy city state is being hurt by the US-China trade war and is heading for
its weakest annual growth since 2009, when the economy shrunk by 0.6% during
the global financial crisis.
Singapore
on Tuesday slashed its forecast for GDP growth in
2019 to between 0% and 1%. Previously, it predicted the economy to grow by
between 1.5% and 2.5%.
The
downgrade followed very weak figures for the April-June period, when GDP shrank
by 3.3% compared to the first quarter of the year.
The
outlook has weakened in part because of how much trade tensions between the
United States and China have escalated, Singapore's Ministry of Trade and
Industry said on Tuesday.
Singapore
is heavily reliant on exports and China is its biggest trading partner. The
Chinese economy is growing at its slowest pace in 27 years.
The
Ministry of Trade and Industry said it expected that Singapore will
"likely to continue to face strong headwinds for the rest of the
year."
"With
trade tensions between the US-China unlikely to abate anytime soon, we expect
exports and trade-related services to push the economy into technical recession
in Q3," Sian Fenner at Oxford Economics wrote in a research note.
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